About us     Activities     Announcements     Contacts 
 Other countries
 Reviews of the press
 Summer Academy

   We recommend:

   Our sponsors:

Other countries
  Nagorno Karabakh – new Russia‘s „peace“ project?

Inga Popovaitë, political commentator
2014 09 26

At the beginning of August the political experts have again turned their eyes on Nagorno Karabakh: here the bloodiest clashes took place since the ceasefire agreement announced in 1994 between Armenia and Azerbaijan. According to the international media, by 9 August the pogroms in both countries resulted in the deaths of more than twenty people. Thus there is no wonder that the Kremlin discerned here a chance to strengthen the positions in South Caucasus and the positions of V.Putin as a peacekeeper against Western opponents. On 9-10 August in Sochi Putin met with the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan and organised a tripartite meeting which was not attended by the representatives of the OSCE Minsk group. Let‘s see if Russia has really played the role of peacekeeper decisively.

Azerbaijan is convinced that clashes in Nagorno Karabakh were provoked by Russia. According to V.Guluzade, former advisor to President H.Aliev, the August crisis in Karabakh was directly related to the complicated Russia‘s situation related to the lost pro-Russian rebel forces in Ukraine and “biting“ Western sanctions.  He said that Putin used Armenia as a tool to increase tension in Nagorno Karabakh, to interfere and, consequently, strengthen the peacemaker’s position.

Another analyst A.Orujlu, who heads the East-West think tank in Baku, is of the oppinion that by doing this Russia tries to attract Azerbaijan to the Customs Union: tension in the frontline, deaths of Azerbaijani soldiers and the Sochi meeting are parts of one scenario, since the meeting focused on the Customs Union and Russia‘s cooperation with both, Armenia and Azerbaijan.

Whereas R.Giragosian, director of the Regional Studies Centre in Yerevan informed „Geopolitika“ that there is no evidence demonstrating that Russia trespassed the frontline of Nagorno Karabakh in August. According to him Russia has simply used the situation in order to restore its unilateral diplomatic initiatives and act outside the Minsk group. R. Giragosian warned that this might make Russia bring its own peacekeeping forces to Nagorno Karabakh.  Comparing Nagorno Karabakh with other hot spots of South Caucasus – Dagestan, Ingush, Abkhazia or South Ossetia – it is obvious that in these countries Russia has much more influence because of the dislocated Russian troops or issued Russian passports.

But can Nagorno Karabakh become another place for dislocation of Russian „peacekeeping“ forces? R. Giragosian is convinced that no. „In June I attended one NATO meeting in Baku and can say that Yerevan, Baku and Stepanakert unanimously agree on one issue: it is necessary to say „no“ to Russia‘s peacekeeping forces“. According to him, for Azerbaijan introduction of Russian forces would mean a frozen conflict, but Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh do not have any reasons to accept foreign troops.

R.Giragosian says that Russia can bring its troops to Karabakh only in case of a renewed war in this region. Although the Kremlin today has fully forgotten the cold logic and some of Putin‘s supporters are ready not only to provide both sides with the arms but also to take specific actions, so far this will not happen because even for Russia it would be too difficult to bring more troops to Nagorno Karabakh; Russia‘s military base at Gyumri  does not have enough capacities, and Georgia‘s air space has already been closed.

Although the meeting of presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan cannot be treated as absolutely insignificant, according to R.Giragosian, Russia might do more harm than good. „After the meeting Russia‘s minister of foreign affairs Lavrov informed on the intention to further organise such meetings – only with Putin and without representatives of the Minsk group. The response of the Minsk Group was immediate; it plans to held the meeting between I.Aliev and S.Sargsian in New York, during the UN General Assembly. Thus, here we can see the competition“, said R.Giragosian.

Although situation in Nagorno Karabakh after the Sochi meeting calmed down, Putin could hardly get a peace prize. And the Crimean scenario could hardly be repeated. As long as all the three parties are against Russian peacekeeping forces in Nagorno Karabakh, they will not be dislocated there.

Prepared referring to the information of azernews.az, rt.com, eurasia.net, rferl.org.

Copyright: it is obligatory to indicate www.geopolitika.lt as a source in reprinting or otherwise using www.geopolitika.lt material.

   Print version
  Article has no comments

Enter code:  

Use of juvenile, nonsensical and vulgar language prohibited.

Ukraine has filed a lawsuit against Russia in the International Court of Justice for terrorism and racism (5)

2017 01 19

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine filed a lawsuit in the UN International Court of Justice against Russia within the framework of the International Convention for the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism and the International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination, says the site of the Foreign Minister. This is done on the instructions of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko, issued on 16 January.

National Armed Forces (NAF) of Latvia will deploy additional military units in three cities (13)

2017 01 18

For effective complex defence of Latvia, the establishment of a permanent division of the National Armed Forces has started in Latgale, reported the official website of the Ministry of Defence.


In Lithuania the amount of 110 thousand Euros was collected at a concert in support of the ATO fighters and residents of Donbass (5)

2017 01 17

On 13 January a concert "Together to the victory" was held in Lithuania, where the audience decided to support Ukraine's defence and donated 110 thousand Euros.


Belarus has established a visa-free regime for citizens of 80 countries (2)

2017 01 10

Alexander Lukashenko on 9 January signed a decree № 8 "On the establishment of visa-free entry and exit of foreign nationals." The document establishes visa-free entry to Belarus for a period not exceeding 5 days at the entrance through the checkpoint "National Airport Minsk" for citizens of 80 countries, - reported the press service of the President of Belarus.

The European Parliament approved the recall of visas for citizens of Ukraine and Georgia (2)

2016 12 19


The European Parliament approved the granting of a visa-free regime for short-term trips to the citizens of Ukraine and Georgia, RIA Novosti reported.



Copyright: it is obligatory to indicate www.geopolitika.lt as a source in reprinting or otherwise using www.geopolitika.lt material!

© 2005-2017 Geopolitiniø Studijø Centras